He has the ability to deliver passes with tight spirals on any given play and can go deep. Justin's arm strength helps him especially when he's pressured. However, he has a tendency to underthrow his receivers when they are dealing with tight coverage and when he is on the run.
Short Accuracy (1-10 yds)
Herbert often delivers the ball in a way for his receivers to run after the catch. However, his screen passing game is slightly troubling because he has a knack for throwing errant passes on screens.
Imtermediate Accuracy (10-20 yds)
Herbert regressed the most as a passer at the intermediate range from his Junior to Senior year. While he has the ability to move the chains, he frequently throws the ball behind his receivers.
Long Accuracy (20+ yds)
Most of his big-time throws occur at the deep level of the field. Herbert is especially talented at throwing a deep ball well when dealing with pressure.
Herbert is able to evade the pressure and extend plays. He has a clock in his head so that he knows when to move outside the pocket or step up. However, he needs to do a better job of sensing pressure and seeing blitzes. He's disciplined and trained well but doesn't have a natural feel of pressure.
Herbert is able to extend plays with his legs and can a somewhat dual-threat quarterback. However, his throw on the run is lackluster, to say the least.
Misses receivers who are are more open because he has a tendency to stare down his first read. Herbert can read well once outside the pocket.
Herbert has great mechanics when he drops back and throws a normal pass. Herbert also has great mechanics when on the run. However, his mechanics quickly deteriorate when dealing with blitzes and pressure, but his arm strength bails him out constantly.
Herbert has suffered clavicle and femur injuries throughout his football career, which is troubling.
Throughout his career at Oregon, there have been multiple concerns about his leadership and temperament. He is also considered soft and quirky too.
Herbert does a good job of keeping the ball out of harm's way because of his risk-averse nature. However, he needs to do better on 3rd and 4th down.
Keeps the ball out of harm's way to mitigate turnovers.
Herbert has quick feet, decent mobility and a great 40-yard dash (4.66) for a quarterback.
Herbert has the arm strength necessary to pull off good plays but his risk-averse nature prevents him from consistently being a big-play threat.
Herbert has put up back to back 3,000+ yard seasons and has posted a 95:23 TD: INT ratio.
Herbert has great poise and decision making when dealing with pressure. His IQ is above average.
No off the field concerns, great GPA (4.08), and seeks to be a doctor later in life.
Consistency throughout a game is Justin Herbert's biggest weakness. One drive he'll be stellar and deliver great passes, the next he can throw erratic passes or struggle to move off his first read.
There is a lot to like about Justin Herbert. For starters, his combination of arm strength and talent enables him to deliver insane passes, especially when he has pressure in his face. Herbert's arm strength also helps him on deep passes, where he can beat defenders in tight/close coverage. Herbert also has great poise in the pocket when he is dealing with pressure and has the ability to be incredibly accurate, even if defenders are draped over him. In fact, Herbert is very disciplined and frequently will move outside the pocket or step up after four or five seconds in the pocket. Another strength of Herbert's is that he keeps the ball out of harm's way because he has a high IQ and great decision-making skills. Lastly, Herbert has great mechanics and remarkable physical traits.
There is a multitude of factors that could prevent Herbert from being a first-round pick. For instance, Herbert lacks a natural sense of pocket awareness and thus struggles to see or recognize blitzes that occur early in a play. Speaking of vision, Herbert often locks in on his first read and frequently misses receivers who are more open or have a better chance to gain YAC. Herbert's intermediate accuracy is also troubling because he has a tendency to underthrow receivers in that area. For a mobile quarterback, Justin Herbert's throw on the run regressed to the point where his OTR ball placement is spotty. On the field, Herbert's biggest issue is consistency. One drive he'll be stellar and deliver great passes, the next he can throw erratic passes or struggle to move off his first read. In the lockerroom, Herbert will have difficulty leading an NFL team because he has been criticized for his lack of leadership skills. In fact, various reports have labeled the Senior quarterback as soft.
Overall, Justin Herbert is a difficult quarterback to judge. On the one hand, he struggles to recognize blitzes before the play begins and then struggles even more to find open receivers. On the other hand, he is an incredibly gifted athlete who possesses the physical traits and IQ necessary to deliver great passes that don't fall in harm's way. If Herbert is drafted by an NFL team, it needs to be one that specializes in developing mobile quarterbacks because he likes bootleg passes and often moves outside the pocket. Although an offensive coordinator will need to work with Herbert to ensure that he is throwing accurate passes on the run at the intermediate level. Herbert would definitely benefit immensely from sitting for a year behind an established veteran like Jacoby Brissett, Philip Rivers or Tom Brady who could teach him how to lead an NFL locker room. Despite his shortcomings, Justin Herbert is the third-best quarterback prospect in 2020 and should be drafted between the mid-first round or early second round.
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