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Draft Day Final Notes

The media seems to believe that Cleveland is split on Mitch Trubisky and Myles Garrett as the first overall selection. The best information, and most of the information, seems to suggest that Garrett will indeed be the pick, leaving Trubisky free to the 49ers - who won’t take him, Jets - who do not want to take him, Bills - who would love to take him, or possibly the Browns via trade up from the twelfth pick.

One final note about Cleveland and quarterbacks, word from the Senior Bowl was that Hue Jackson really likes Davis Webb. Davis Webb will almost certainly be available at pick number 33. If not, 33 could turn into, say,  pick number 26 without giving up more than a single mid round choice. That’s a hell of a lot cheaper than moving into the top 10 and if known quarterback developer Hue Jackson really likes Davis Webb, then the Browns should probably target him, especially given that his cost is more in line with the Browns modus operandi.

Several teams believe that Charles Harris is destined to go in the teens, some reports having him selected before Derek Barnett. His game tape doesn’t really support this analysis, nor do his workout numbers, so it is likely that Harris is a very good fit with a particular system that several of the teams picking in that area use.

Obi Melifonwu enjoyed a recent rise up draft boards but he seems destined to be a second round choice. Melifonwu is no better than the 5th best safety prospect on the boards of all the teams we heard from.

Gareon Conley will most likely be draft on Friday, possibly in the late second - early third round area where the difference between Conley and available cornerbacks like Cameron Sutton is too great to ignore.

The idea that Garett Bolles would fall out of the first round stinks of sportsmanship. Every team that interviewed Bolles raved about how impressive he was as a person and his game film is far superior to any other left tackle in this draft. With 4 teams in serious need of a left tackle (Indy, Denver, Giants, Seattle) in the mid to late first round Bolles will be a high commodity.

Taco Charlton is all over the place in draft projections, depending on who you listen to.  With various team needs and Charlton’s relative value it is difficult to see him falling much past 25.

The Panthers and Eagles might both need to move up in order to select the running back they desire. Carolina might need to jump Jacksonville for Fournette while McCaffery might be  too tempting for a team like the Browns to pass on, even if Trubisky is on the board.

 

Over - Under

Number of offensive players selected in the first round = 14

Number of quarterbacks selected in the first round = 2

Percentage of defensive backs selected at the end of Friday = 30%

Number of Alabama Players selected in the first round of the draft = 5

Number of trade ups in the top 10 = 3

Number of trade ups in the bottom 12 = 4

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